An Agent-Based Model for Exploring Land Market Mechanisms for Coastal Zone Management
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper presents an agent-based model of a land market (ALMA-C) to simulate the emergence of land prices and urban land patterns from bottom-up. Our model mimics individual decisions to buy and to sell land depending on economic, sociological and political factors as well as on the characteristics of the spatial environment. To this we add ecological and environmental considerations and focus on the question of how individual land use decisions can be affected to reduce the pressure on the coastal zone ecosystem functions. A series of model experiments helps visualize and explore how economic incentives at a land market can influence the spatial distribution of activities and land prices in a coastal zone. We demonstrate that economic incentives do affect urban form and pattern, land prices and welfare measures. However, they may not always be sufficient to reduce the pressure on coastal zone ecosystems.
منابع مشابه
Microeconomic Motives of Land Use Change in Coastal Zone Area: Agent Based Modelling Approach
Economic growth causes growing urbanization, extension of tourist sector, infrastructure and change of natural landscape. These processes of land use change attract even more attention if they take place in coastal zone area. In that case not only the efficient allocation and preservation of natural area, but also reduction of potential damage from flooding is important. Driven forces of land u...
متن کاملModeling Real Estate Market Responses to Climate Change in the Coastal Zone
Regional land use patterns influence and are influenced by the climate system in important ways, and the most economically important of these interactions take place in the region’s coastal zone. Changing flood risks threaten the value of billions of dollars worth of coastal real estate as well as the viability of coastal communities. This paper presents an agent-based model to capture some of ...
متن کاملEvaluating Local Coastal Zone Land Use Planning Capacities in California
Local jurisdictions’ coastal zone land use plans play an important role in protecting critical coastal resources and ensuring coastal communities’ sustainable development. This study extends the previous national and regional measurement systems to local coastal zone land use planning. This study evaluates 46 California local jurisdictions’ coastal zone land use plans and analyzes the factors i...
متن کاملارزیابی آسیبپذیری سواحل نسبت به بالا آمدن تراز آب دریا در شهرستان بابلسر
Abstract Coastal areas are dynamic and complex multi-function systems. A wide number of often conflicting human socio-economic activities occur in these areas. These include urbanization, tourism and recreational activities, industrial production, energy production and delivering, port activities, shipping, and agriculture. Coastal systems are also characterized by important ecological and ...
متن کاملMining Coastal Land Use Sequential Pattern and Its Land Use Associations Based on Association Rule Mining
Research on the land use of the coastal zone in the sea–land direction will not only reveal its land use distribution, but may also indicate the interactions between inland land use and the ocean through associations between inland land use and seaward land use indirectly. However, in the existing research, few have paid attention to the land use in sea–land direction, let alone the sequential ...
متن کامل